Tuesday, August 23, 2016

Bond markets could scare the stock market to decline

For the stock market to go down, something has to happen, and it could happen if the bond market scares the socks off everyone. 

The previous bear market in bonds was from 1946 to 1981. Since 1981, the bond market has been in a bull market. When bonds start going lower, and rates go higher, rates will go much, much higher. Interest rates go to levels we cannot conceive right now. I cannot tell you how high interest rates could go but in 1981 U.S. government bonds were at 15%. Right now, there is inflation, but the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics say there is no inflation. I don’t know where they go to shop, or where they send their kids to school, or go to baseball games. There is inflation all over the world, not just in the U.S.